In this issue:
Market Review
Upcoming Events & Seminars - TICN SSIA Program
Education piece Trend lines
   Main Topic TICN Features  
 
Market Review

The markets have continued to struggle with the spectre of continuing high oil prices and finished the month of June on a low. Many economic reports were issued in the last week of June and they contributed little cheer to market sentiment. Consumer confidence fell to its lowest level in 16 years in June as high inflation took its toll. House prices in America fell by a record 15.3% during the past year and house sales continued to fall, dropping by a further 2.5% in May alone. It was very hard to find any positives with perhaps the news that new filings for unemployment benefit did however hold steady providing the only glimmer of hope on the economic front.

The fears that another major financial institution is in trouble also continue to have a major impact and add to the uncertainty in the market.

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The effect of all the above can clearly be seen in the chart of the Dow showing it closing the month of June at 11,350, with the S+P 500 ending on 1280 and the Nasdaq ending June at 2292.

Such charts have given rise to media discussions as to how much lower the markets can go and reports of declines in peoples’ wealth. Much less is reported of the views of fundamental investors becoming increasingly interested in the market as it reaches new lows. People successfully trading in current market conditions are simply trading the volatility aware of the downward bias in the market, which has been present since the start of the year.

Performance of the Ticn companies
In a month when the Dow fell by 10% it is interesting to see the performance of some of the companies off the Ticn Research sheet KKD +41% JBL +29%, ZQK + 15%, ESI + 14%, LNY + 9%, PRXL +7%, KG +2%, SPLS  +1.3% and no fewer than 30 companies on that sheet fell by less than the market in the month of June.
 
TICN Members Support Webshop Testimonials
TICN Members Support Webshop
We have developed a series of Support and Educational Webshops that will save members both time and money.

These are live interactive sessions that you can receive from your home or office.
"The TICN organisation is both professional and innovative with a unique education concept to successfully investing in shares. I highly recommend their seminars and support as part of the ACCA CPD credits process. As a full-time accountant I find the education and support I have received through TICN very beneficial both professionally and privately in relation to investing in the stock markets".
Gerry Quinn - Accountant, Chairman Starchasers Investment Club Sligo.
"I attended the TICN MMCP Investment seminar and have made more money in the last 5 months than I have in my previous 5 years experience just applying what was taught to me by TICN."
John Moylan, Moylan Financial Services Tipperary.
In my first year of trading I made 62% profit using the TICN strategies and I expect to do better in the coming year due to the advanced courses done with TICN. I can now make more money in the market than I ever could as a PAYE worker."
Pat Lynch, Cork.
"After completing the MMCP in April, and paper trading in May, I started with $5,000 in June and by December I had turned my investment into $10,000 using the TICN strategies as taught to me at the MMCP seminar."
Ian McKibbon, Lisburn.
I really do believe you have a great organization - good people, very focused, very straight forward and democratic. I'm 50 this year and I can honestly say its the best decision I ever made to get myself educated in investing... I should have done it years ago."
John Daly, Journalist - Cork
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Support Sessions are held every Sunday evening at 8pm and every Wednesday evening at 7pm.
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Upcoming Events & Seminars - July 2008 Did you Know?
Support evening in Dublin with Owen O’Malley. Owen will be describing how to trade in a bear market. This highly relevant evening will take place on Thursday July 17th in the Spa hotel in Lucan. It will be preceeded by a Money talks event for people who are interested in what we do in TICN.

Register with Robbie Hughes if you wish to attend or to bring some guests to this timely and informative event.
TICN provides FREE webshops for people who wish to learn more about TICN, investment clubs and the Stockmarket!

TICN are currently forming investment clubs Nationwide.

TICN members can complete the remaining 8 modules of the 'Elite Investor' program with a saving of 40% off
retail prices.

TICN Members can repeat all training modules for a NOMINAL admin/facilities fee!!


We Provide a 100% Moneyback guarantee on MMCP seminars.

TICN Ireland’s Next MMCP Seminar will take place in the Glenroyal Hotel in Maynooth on the weekend of 8th, 9th & 10th of August. To book/confirm your place please contact us on 1800 367 693. Places are limited to a first come basis.

The ELITE Investor Program will be run over 2 weekends in August. Level 1 on 9th & 10th of August & Level 2 on 16th & 17th August. Please confirm your attendance early secure your place, bookings on a first come basis.

TICN SSIA Program ! (Shares Self Investor Account)

TICN have introduced a NEW program where we literally deposit dollars into your MyTrack account in return for MMCP referrals. To get full details on this exciting new program please email us on referrals@ticnireland.ie .

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  Education piece Trend lines  
 

With the current downward bias in the market we thought it might be appropriate to re visit some technical material relating to trend lines, as traders must be sure to let the trend be their friend.

Technical analysis is built on the assumption that prices trend. Trend lines are an important tool in technical analysis for both trend identification and confirmation. A trend line is a straight line that connects two or more price points and then extends into the future to act as a line of support or resistance. Many of the principles applicable to support and resistance levels can be applied to trend lines as well.

A down trend line has a negative slope and is formed by connecting two or more high points. The second high must be lower than the first for the line to have a negative slope. Down trend lines act as resistance and indicate that net-supply (supply less demand) is increasing even as the price declines. A declining price combined with increasing supply is very bearish and shows the strong resolve of the sellers. As long as prices remain below the down trend line, the downtrend is considered solid and intact. A break above the down trend line indicates that net-supply is decreasing and a change of trend could be imminent.

  An up trend line has a positive slope and is formed by connecting two of more low points. The second low must be higher than the first for the line to have a positive slope. Up trend lines act as support and indicate that net-demand (demand less supply) is increasing even as the price rises. A rising price combined with increasing demand is very bullish and shows a strong determination on the part of the buyers. As long as prices remain above the trend line, the uptrend is considered solid and intact. A break below the up trend line indicates that net-demand has weakened and a change in trend could be imminent.

It takes two or more points to draw a trend line. The more points used to draw the trend line, the more validity attached to the support or resistance level represented by the trend line. It can sometimes be difficult to find more than 2 points from which to construct a trend line. Even though trend lines are an important aspect of technical analysis, it is not always possible, to draw trend lines on every price chart. Sometimes the lows or highs just don't match up and it is best not to force the issue. The general rule in technical analysis is that it takes two points to draw a trend line and the third point confirms the validity.

As the steepness of a trend line increases, the validity of the support or resistance level decreases. A steep trend line results from a sharp advance (or decline) over a brief period of time. The angle of a trend line created from such sharp moves is unlikely to offer a meaningful support or resistance level. Even if the trend line is formed with three seemingly valid points, attempting to play a trend line break or use the support and resistance level that has been established will often prove difficult.

Sometimes there appears to be the possibility for drawing a trend line, but the exact points do not match up quite right. The highs or lows may be out of line, the angle may be too steep or the points may seem too close together. If one or two points could be ignored, then a fitted trend line could be formed. With the volatility present in the market, prices can over-react and produced spikes that may distort the highs and lows. One method for dealing with over-reactions is to draw internal trend lines. An internal trend line is one which ignores the price spikes and fits the majority of the price points ignoring the extremes. Even though an internal trend line ignores price spikes, the ignoring should be within reason.

Trend lines can offer great insight, but if not used properly can also result in false signals. Other items such as horizontal support and resistance levels or peak and trough analysis should be employed to validate trend line breaks. While trend lines have become a very popular aspect of technical analysis, they are merely one tool for establishing, analyzing and confirming the trend. Trend lines should not be the final arbiter, but serve as a warning that a change in trend may be imminent. By using trend line breaks for warnings, investors and traders can pay closer attention to other confirming signals for a potential change in trend. Some investors and traders like to return to what they have learnt on their mmcp and use the various moving average lines to also act as confirmation of the change in the trend.

 
 
 

TICN LTD is an education and support organization. We work with investment clubs and self investors to educate them on
making wise investment decisions. We neither advise or comment on individual investments and recommend that professional
advice is taken from a qualified and Independent Financial Advisor before any investment is made.

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